The world is experiencing one of the most transformative moments in U.S. foreign policy. The shifting nature of current and future U.S. foreign policy has sent waves of uncertainty around the globe, yet also provides an opportunity to reassess entrenched global issues and established alliances with the hope of making strides towards greater stability.
Zalmay Khalilzad, a veteran diplomat who served as U.S. Ambassador to Afghanistan (2003-05), Iraq (2005-07) and the United Nations (2007-08), is familiar with shaping American policy in moments of uncertainty. His steady hand has helped shaped American policy on the international stage for decades, driven by a belief in long-term thinking and bipartisan commitment. He recently spoke with Mark Goldberg, host of the Global Dispatches podcast, about his personal story and U.S. foreign policy during a live recording of the program (IVY Ideas: How to Understand Russia). Read on for his insights on the need for the American government and international institutions to be cautious, while also remaining flexible and adaptive.
On How To Engage With Russia
Much of the conversation focused on the future of U.S.-Russia relations in light of the Russian hacking scandal and President Trumpâ€™s election. While Khalilzad expressed concern that Trumpâ€™s desire to engage with Russia may not be fruitful, he does believe that improving relations with Russia would be a positive step. Here the ambassador differs from hardliners like Republican senator John McCain, who want to double down against Russian president Vladimir Putin and impose stricter sanctions. Still, Khalilzad cautioned that reaching out to Moscow â€ścould be dangerousâ€ť if Trump does not carefully prepare beforehand. Certain measures should first be taken, the ambassador advised, including reaching out to European allies and addressing Americaâ€™s cyber, conventional, and nuclear vulnerabilities.
Khalilzad argued that Russia has been hostile to the United States because it believes â€śwe treated it, after the end of the Cold War, as a defeated power,â€ť and wants to show that it is still an important actor on the world stage. He views some of Russiaâ€™s complaints as legitimate, but adds that the United States cannot let Russia maintain a sphere of influence at the expense of Russiaâ€™s neighbors. Overall, Khalilzad advocates trying out careful engagement with Russia, as opposed to a complete embrace or enmity.
On Reforming International Institutions
The former U.S. envoy to the United Nations also asserted that international organizations should be reformed under the new administration. Regarding NATO, Khalilzad commented that â€śTrump is right to raise questions about the allianceâ€ť since the United States currently carries a high share of its financial burden. â€śI myself have been frustrated at times when Iâ€™ve been in government to get the allies to do their fair share,â€ť he said, referencing his personal experience with NATO members. Importantly, Khalilzad noted that NATO leaders should ask themselves whether or not the organization is â€śfocused on the real problems of the current period,â€ť like terrorism.
â€ś[T]he balance of power has changed, and the challenges of the world are very different.â€ť
On a similar note, Khalilzad pointed out that the UN needs to adapt because â€śthe balance of power has changed, and the challenges of the world are very differentâ€ť from when the organization was established in 1945. Restructuring the Security Council is a suggestion many analysts make, but Khalilzad went beyond that issue by also arguing for changes in how UN funds are collected and spent. Specifically, he described thousands of â€śuseless mandatesâ€ť that the UN continues to spend money on, but which he believes are obsolete. As Ambassador to the UN, he sought to release money from these mandates to reallocate for development, but was ultimately only successful in removing about a dozen of them.
Contrary to those who argue that the liberal, institutions-based world order has maintained stability, Khalilzad believes that the disfunction of organizations like NATO and the UN has contributed to the rise of right-wing, nationalist movements in Europe and the United States. Despite his respect for the UN, Khalilzad is concerned for its future because of how difficult it is to reform the organization from within. He argues that if international institutions do not adapt, they will become increasingly irrelevant and obsolete.
On Afghanistan and the Muslim World
It is interesting that Khalilzad was involved in American policymaking during both of the major encounters between the United States and Afghanistan, the Soviet war in the 1980s and the American war after 9/11. On the role of Afghans in the Cold War, Khalilzad suggests that â€śthey perhaps inflicted such [heavy] losses on the Soviets that they may have played a role in the disintegration of the Soviet Union. And that was regarded as a great achievement of US foreign policy…but then we abandoned Afghanistan.â€ť This, according to the ambassador, was a clear mistake. Considering how the country had fought the Soviets and needed major assistance to rebuild, the United States should have not disengaged so quickly.
Khalilzad considers the future of the Muslim world, including countering extremism, to be one of the most pressing global issues. He adds that it is a complicated matter, though, given that Muslims currently make up nearly one-fourth of the worldâ€™s population. Therefore, the ambassador provided the following advice for President Trump: â€śDonâ€™t try to get all of them to hate the United States. He has to be very careful in making distinctions here.â€ť
America Going Forward
In his talk at IVY, Ambassador Khalilzad gave a nuanced perspective on US foreign policy based on his experience as an advisor and diplomat. How can the United States be effective as the worldâ€™s leading power? Khalilzad maintains that it must have clearly defined priorities around the globe, and from Americaâ€™s intelligence agencies to international institutions, he sees a lot of potential for adapting more quickly to ever-changing circumstances.
For further learning, refer to Ambassador Khalilzad’s recent publication, The Envoy: From Kabul to the White House, My Journey Through a Turbulent World.